Friday, November 30, 2012

Chinese Princelings Gone Wild: Is There A Gang Mentality in Beijing?


Do China’s Taishito Govern as Gang Bangers Would?

Brazen China Announces Ownership of World’s Third Largest Sea. 

China Taking Control of Over Half the World’s Shipping Lanes in 2013?  

Bonus: The Possible Largest Untapped Fossil Fuel Deposits on Earth. 

Southeast Asia in Crisis:
Part I: The Schoolyard Bully

©  Millennium Media Entertainment, Inc.

Do you remember when you were in school and a kid bigger than everyone bullied them? Even though he was from a wealthy family, the bully took the smaller children’s lunch money, threatening to beat them up if they resisted. A few other kids joined in with the bully’s bad behavior, since he rewarded them.

The bully made excuses to the teachers for his bad behavior toward the other children. And, for a while you and your classmates lived in daily fear. 

 

One of your new friends decided not to give his lunch money to the bully and his gang. They announced that after school they were going to beat this kid up. After school, the bully and his entourage, found the kid who had defied them. But, they had misjudged their situation.

 

This kid had a big brother, who was fed up with all the bully’s bad behavior. He gave the bully a choice to either fight or behave toward his brother and the other children. The bully was finished that day. His credibility as some one to fear was over, from which, he couldn’t ever recover from.  

 

 

This is what has been going on in Asia for almost three years.  It’s pretty easy to spot the real cast of characters in my little fable. 

 

If you don’t understand the metaphors, the school is the Western Philippines (South China) Sea.  The bully is China and kids are Southeast Asian nations.  The bully’s gang is Laos and Cambodia. 


The kid with the older brother is Philippines.  This metaphorical older brother is the United States, who behind closed doors warned China against any military misadventures with The Philippines.


 China terribly misdiagnosed America three years ago.  They felt that America was too preoccupied with the Middle East to take note with their aggressive plans for Asia, let alone stop them.  Looks like we will get to find how much China will get away with or not, next year.

America is disengaging with the Middle East wars as fast as it can and today has the most powerful, well seasoned, high tech war machine in the world,  if it’s needed.  Iran will not be a distraction since there are many ways to deal with that problem.

American Pacific Naval forces are being increased to 60%, including Marines.  The Pacific Fleet is actually comprised of two Fleets, each led by a Carrier.  Guam is bristling with personnel and bombers.  There are 30,000 US Marines based on Japan’s Okinawa, which also claimed by China’s media.

It is doubtful there will be a military conflict between China and the US, in Asia.  But, what China is attempting would be like the US claiming all of the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean Sea.  That would be as ridiculous as what China is planning in Asia.



China has been ratcheting up the pressure on its neighbors, over the last few weeks.  They have threatened to stop and board ships traversing in their Hainan Province’s territorial waters, which according to them, reaches into international waters and other nations’ territory.

I wonder if they will try that with the USS Washington and the carrier’s escort ships, should they enter international waters claimed by China?  


The new Chinese passports, which show China’s claims in the Western Philippines (South China) Sea, (including Taiwan) have outraged Vietnam, Taiwan and the Philippines.  India is furious over China also detailing ownership of one Indian state and region, in the new Chinese passports.  Vietnam, India and Philippines have announced steps to thwart any legitimizing of the new Chinese passport maps.

 
All of this and Obama’s recent Asia trip is waking up some of my news colleagues in the US.  One of them asked me recently what was so important about Southeast Asia and why is Obama so interested with the region?

I replied that at the end the day it’s about our long standing Asian allies and money, as most things are.  I told him that the only region on Earth that is stable and economically growing is Southeast Asia.  Obama correctly believes that trade with this region is essential to America’s future.

It is conceivable that the disputed islands have more untapped fossil fuel reserves than the Middle East.  The shame of it is, that nobody can benefit yet from these natural resources, given China’s behavior.  This is silly.  Everyone on Earth could benefit from new abundant oil and gas production, including China.
 

China's New Standing Committee (Princelings)

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Inadequate Security Protocols and Poor Judgment Killed Ambassador Stevens and Three Others at Benghazi Consulate.



Self Absorbed Petraeus Makes Administration Fall Guys Over His Irresponsible Incompetence as Country’s Intelligence Chief. 
What is Being Done to Improve US Embassy Security in Unstable Countries?
©  Millennium Media Entertainment, Inc.
We have been hearing daily for months about the US Consulate Benghazi tragedy, but nothing about how to prevent such a deadly attack, in the future.  People like Senator John McCain only want to argue about who said what, after the attack.  Not very helpful and that’s not the important issue. 

Security for the Embassies around the world is and nothing has been reported about this.  No Congressional hearings have been held about improving Embassy security, in unstable countries.  Can we assume then, that many are open to more attacks, as the politicians bicker over semantics?

At this writing, no one seems to know who to hold responsible for the attack.  Let me assure you that if the attackers were in anyway part of Al Qaeda, they would have told us themselves a long time ago.  This distracting issue only continues because of Willard Mitt Romney’s ridiculous accusations during the campaign.

No Terrorism Group has claimed credit for the attack that claimed the lives of US Ambassador Chris Stevens and three others.  Former CIA Director David Petraeus testified the attackers were part of Al Qaeda and this was an act of terrorism.  Bottom line is Petraeus mismanaged information about the attack and still is clueless who is responsible.  So, he simply blames Al Qaeda.  How come Al Qaeda hasn’t touted this victory, after over two months?  It is not like these murderous glory hounds to be so publicity shy.

Why didn’t the CIA say so in the first place, two months ago?  Part of the problem is what Petraeus told the Administration at that time.  Now he is saying something different.  This guy has been over his head at the CIA, since day one.  Doubt very much the CIA misses him.  This could explain how the FBI could run amok inside the CIA’s security systems, undetected.  Or, anyone can do this.   

Not a word from McCain about this, who’s wants  a lynch mob investigation about who said what.  Then, McCain forgets to attend a closed door security briefing about the lethal attack at Benghazi. What is wrong with him?

Petraeus Mistress Paula Broadwell announced at a University of Denver alumni symposium last month that that the Benghazi Consulate was attacked because it had taken a couple of Libyan militiamen prisoners.  She speculated that the attack was possibly an effort to try to and free the militiamen.  What?  Thought her boyfriend didn’t tell her any state secrets.  This has been and remains a joke.  Why is anyone in the government talking to Petraeus anymore about this or anything else?

Some are calling Petraeus the MacArthur of our times, which is no compliment.  Like MacArthur, none of his military strategies have worked.  But he can muster a mean caravan of 28 cars to attend a party in Tampa hosted by Jill Kelly and is killer at writing thousands of love emails.

Petraeus never commanded live fire units and has not personally been in combat.  He did get a Bronze Star for being around an area hit by a mortar round, in 2003.  So, he does like giving himself medals for possibly being anywhere near harm’s way.   

Bronze Stars are awarded to service people who did something heroic, while engaged in combat and not because they were in the neighborhood.   I picture Petraeus back in his air conditioned quarters later writing a couple of hundred emails about his near death experience. 

Speaking of emails by the hundreds and thousands, Marine General John Allen might be temporally out of the woods with President Obama, but he’s anything but square with the US Marine Corps, who hates the smallest of messes.  The Marine Corps frowns on one of its own embarrassing them.  Allen clearly embarrassed them and sullied their public image of Marine Virtues, which the Corps views as a cardinal sin.

Maybe the War in Afghanistan would be going better if Petraeus and Allen spent less time flirting via email and more time executing a war, which the American people entrusted to them.  These are grown men acting like giddy teenagers addicted to Facebook chit-chat, while in charge of military personnel’s well being during a war.

What’s up with their getting involved with Jill Kelly’s sister’s child custody suit?  Her former husband has total custody of their child.  It appears that Tampa’s Family Court doesn’t think too highly of her character.  Why in the world, would two four star generals write character reference letters for her?   

Maybe they wanted future invitations to Jill’s parties?  I would think both had bigger things to do, such as keeping our service men and women alive, fighting terrorism and rebuilding a nation.  Where’s McCain, Graham and Willard on that?  Too busy hunting UN Ambassador Susan Rice, I guess.

We still don’t know what to call the bad guys who attacked the consulate and killed our people over two months ago.  Were they terrorists, insurgents, attackers, part of an angry mob or militants?  All those labels have been applied.  And, why does it matter what we call these people?  I’m going with bad guys.  Small timers got lucky that the Consulate had shoddy security.

Why aren’t Senators McCain and Lindsey Graham more interested with making sure our diplomats have the right security now, instead of who said what, when this happened.  Why aren’t they yelling for heads of anyone who stood in the way of the Benghazi Consulate having the right security?  Who cares what  Susan Rice said?  She wasn’t the Secretary of State.  Any remarks Rice made were based on what Intel an incompetent CIA Director gave the Administration, when he could tear himself away from penning love emails.

If the Administration got it wrong during the early days, we most likely have Petraeus to thank for any confusion.  That was then and this is now.  We need leadership and solutions not unproductive sophomoric bickering.  Leadership is needed now, not a childish, vengeful circus over the last elections.

Let me tell you about Libya.  This was a planned attack by Libyan militiamen, plain and simple.  The current government there has to get along with a wide assortment of armed militias.  This is why they have not arrested anyone nor did much to help during assault on the Consulate.

Libya was a cornucopia of bad decisions.  The Ambassador didn't take any Marines with him to Benghazi, instead relying on a two former military contractors.  It’s still not clear who else there could fight.

You can't expect a few guys with light weapons to defend against an attack like that.  No embassy is set up to mount a rescue to a Consulate over four hours away.  There was nothing that could be done once the attack began. 


Anyone who has been in a firefight will tell you, they don’t last long, particularly in circumstances like those in Benghazi.  The cavalry arriving shortly after the fighting has commenced, are going to be just too late.  Why didn’t they send a squad of Marines, stationed at the Embassy?  Sending only six CIA Agents to the rescue is ridiculous.  Some one has seen too many movies. 

Embassies usually rely on the host governments for protection.  Libya is not a normal host country.  It barely has a government, overrun by militias and has no real legitimate security structure.  The Ambassador calls the shots on the ground and he should have had a well armed Marine Squad with him, at least.  

 He made a bad call in a very unstable Islamic country.  And, that got him killed.  No way that this terrible tragedy can be blamed on anyone above him.  They didn’t cause his or three other Americans’ deaths.  Poor judgment did.

Security Marines assigned to our Embassies are trained for stuff like this.  Stevens clearly didn't understand his situation.  Our Ambassador to China was attacked by a mob a few months ago and suffered a few minor injuries.  Then mob realized what could happen if they didn't back off.  His situation was resolved quickly.  Bad guys around the world rarely test US Marines.  That is a fact, not a slogan.

Tricky using US Military in some one's country, legally.  Press said little since about the China attack because they were much more fixated on Libya, courtesy of Romney & Company.  Good thing for Petraeus that the Rumster is out of the picture.  Though it would not surprise me to hear something nasty come out of Willard, over the next few days

I think two things about the Press's Libyan Coverage.  1) They exploited an unfortunate situation, showing absolutely no understanding about what and why it happened, quickly gravitating to what they heard last from Romney.  Willard’s behavior during this time, was disgraceful, to say the least.  2) Our policies for Embassies are not new.  Wonder what would have reported today about the over 200 Marines killed by a suicide bomber in Lebanon, on Regan's watch?  I don’t remember a media witch hunt about who said what, after that very sad tragedy.  Nor were there reports about accusations of a cover up from partisan elected officials. 

The Ambassador’s people did call for help, but no way could anyone have been there in time.  Playing the blame game then and now is not productive.  We look like idiots the more we debate how the Benghazi information was managed.  It doesn’t matter any more.   

What does is what is going to be done to better protect our Foreign Service people serving in hostile countries, like Libya.  Put aside the finger pointing and scandals in favor of designing better security protocols for our Embassies.

The Libyan Embassy allegedly asked for more protection a few months earlier.  They didn't get it over money.  You can't cut budgets and expect to be able to react quickly when something like this happens.  Regardless, the Ambassador would have most likely traveled without enough security anyway.

End of the day, the Ambassador set himself up.  Don't kid yourself that the bad guys hadn't studied his patterns.  I don't fault the Libyan people, who have gone out of their way to apologize.  This couldn’t have been prevented with help from the local people.  Correct, defensive security procedures just were not in play.  Wasting time and money on finger pointing will not correct this problem, or bring back the four countrymen we lost.